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There is still a worry about the imbalance between supply and demand. There is limited room for alumina futures to continue to fall. Since the intraday record of 5,540 yuan/ton on December 5, the main contract price of domestic alumina futures has started to fluctuate and fall, reaching a minimum of 5,077 yuan/ton on December 12, with the cumulative maximum decline exceeding 8%. According to industry insiders, the increase of alumina registered delivery brands and the sharp drop in overseas alumina spot quotations have led to the recent decline in alumina futures prices. Although the short-term news in the market is intertwined, the imbalance between supply and demand in the alumina market has not fundamentally improved, so there is limited room for the subsequent decline of alumina futures prices. (CSI)A number of data show: the distribution of rights and interests of public offerings, the increasing self-purchase of equity funds, the acceleration of the pace of opening positions for sub-new funds, the promotion of equity positions for "old funds", and more new funds will be sold in the middle and late December ... Near the end of the year, Public Offering of Fund is increasing the distribution of rights and interests. Public Offering of Fund is entering the stadium. Choice data shows that the new funds established in the past three months (September 12 to December 12) have raised a total of 289.803 billion yuan, with equity funds raising more than half. Among the above-mentioned sub-IPO funds, 145 funds have earned more than 1% since their establishment, accounting for more than half, and most of them are opening positions quickly. As of December 11th, the revenue of 27 products exceeded 5% (the different shares were calculated separately), and the revenue of the best-performing products reached 51%. (SSE)BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.

Dong Ximiao, chief researcher of Zhaolian and part-time researcher of Finance Research Institute of Fudan University, said: "Let policy adjustment go ahead of the market curve", and moderately loose monetary policy will intensify countercyclical adjustment. The Central Economic Work Conference determined that the tone of monetary policy in 2025 was "moderately loose", which was not only based on the analysis of the current economic situation, but also fully considered external uncertainties, and combined with the planning of economic work next year.The winning bid rate of US 30-year bonds is 4.535%, which is higher than the pre-issuance transaction rate. The US Treasury continued to issue US$ 22 billion of 30-year bonds, with a winning bid rate of 4.535%. The pre-issuance transaction rate was 4.523% when the tender closed at 1 pm new york time. The proportion of primary dealers was 14.4%, which was higher than the previous one. The proportion of direct bidders was reduced to 19.1%, and the proportion of indirect bidders was increased to 66.5%. The bid multiple is 2.39 times, which is lower than the average of 2.42 times in the past six renewal transactions.Banks prepare for personal pension account opening. Marketing insurance companies lay out early to seize the opportunity. The year-end and year-end are the last moment of personal pension annual payment. On December 12, the personal pension system ushered in expansion. The Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security and other five departments issued the "Notice on the Full Implementation of the Personal Pension System", saying that since December 15th, the personal pension system has been pushed from 36 pilot cities (regions) to the whole country. The reporter learned that as the "entrance" of individual pension accounts, banks are actively preparing for account opening marketing. For example, many banks have launched preferential activities for opening accounts and paying personal pensions by appointment, and activities such as reduction of funds, payment ceremony and lottery withdrawal have taken turns. As an in-depth participant in the individual pension system, insurance companies have also made positive statements and will seize the historical opportunity to participate more deeply in the construction of the third pillar of the pension system. (SSE)

A number of data show: the distribution of rights and interests of public offerings, the increasing self-purchase of equity funds, the acceleration of the pace of opening positions for sub-new funds, the promotion of equity positions for "old funds", and more new funds will be sold in the middle and late December ... Near the end of the year, Public Offering of Fund is increasing the distribution of rights and interests. Public Offering of Fund is entering the stadium. Choice data shows that the new funds established in the past three months (September 12 to December 12) have raised a total of 289.803 billion yuan, with equity funds raising more than half. Among the above-mentioned sub-IPO funds, 145 funds have earned more than 1% since their establishment, accounting for more than half, and most of them are opening positions quickly. As of December 11th, the revenue of 27 products exceeded 5% (the different shares were calculated separately), and the revenue of the best-performing products reached 51%. (SSE)Israeli bombing of Nuseilet refugee camp in central Gaza has killed 25 people. On the evening of 12th, local time, the reporter of the Headquarters learned that Israeli bombing of a building in Nuseilet refugee camp in central Gaza has killed 25 people and injured many others.New york Fed: Neil will be a senior consultant until he leaves.